Is nothing sacred?

While looking at the infographic in the NYT this morning that details the papal voting process, I saw, tucked under the drawing of the Sistine Chapel, the words "Cellphone Scrambler."

First, I want a cell phone scrambler to carry on my person to block anyone, including myself, in the general vicinity from receiving or placing phone calls. Sort of a personal "cone of silence."

But sticking one in the Sistine Chapel leads to all sorts of questions. Is it to keep the Cardinals from receiving calls in the middle of the balloting? Or is it to keep them from placing calls to the outside world, tipping off the media that a two-thirds majority has been achieved and so beating the white smoke out of the chimney?

 

Atlantic Monthly to Leave Boston

Another nail in the coffin for Boston publishing but understandable given the magazine’s sad finances. As one of its 350,000 subscribers, I certainly hope and pray the Atlantic will survive in Washington, but I rue the state of New England magazine publishing.

DVD profit margins double that of VHS

DVD profit margins double that of VHS

Someone at MGM parked the wrong Powerpoints on the server. Fascinating insights into DVD economics, margins, and corporate intelligence by Ken Fisher at ArsTechnica. Thanks to Ben Lipman for the pointer. 

When will Web 2.0 Hit Communities?

Remember “communities?”

About the same time the portal model was all the rage – following the twilight of “push” – was an obsession with online community building. Having tried, and failed, to launch a company based on niche communities, but having put in a full decade of community development with Reel-Time, I wonder where the passion has gone.

If one accepts the definition of Web 2.0 as one of personal syndication and aggregation – using feeds to construct connections and building one’s own network of content and contacts – then where is the model for communities?

 

Communities are defined by their technology – for the most part threaded discussions built on top of PHP systems such as vBulletin and UltimateBB. The community developer creates a taxonomy of subjects and the users register and post in a thread, response structure. Moderators keep the flamers and spammers at bay, power users are promoted to exalted status where they can also moderate, and the page views begin to flow. Push and notification can occur in most systems via email notification, but for the most part, in my experience, that facility is ignored. Private message systems within the walls of the community are available, and used, again to a limited extent. Anonymity is permitted to the degree that users can post under a handle (with authentication of their identity usually occurring via emailed passwords and IP lookup) and the registered member-to-lurker ratio generally remains at 1 to 4.

Real-time interaction via chat is limited and doesn’t seem to hold much potential as communities work best when they time-shift. A quick ping and instant message – such as that permitted on the WELL of old – is convenient but not necessary.

Blogs have exploded the central model of a hosted community by spinning off the more prolific posters into their own domain, with the host moderating comments and constraining the give and take. A blog visitor cannot – usually – post their own comment, but must wait for approval before their remarks can be footnoted to the blogger’s main post. Blogs are very “egotistical” communities at best. The Blogger dominates, the audience is comprised of spectators raising their hands in the audience. Reel-Time has initiated a community of blogs, extending WordPress installations to a few beta testers. Mark Cahill, our editor, has built a central facility to aggregate recent postings and present them on R-T’s homepage, obviating the need for an RSS newsreader.

As we roll out the network of blogs a few concerns arise – one is the potential damage it will do to the traditional vBulletin system, which is very robust with over 8,000 registered users and as many as 800 concurrent registered users and lurkers. Our fear is that by opening a second medium for the “better” posters and giving them their own space to play with, we’ll remove the most valuable asset of the general community. Making them coexist will be a challenge.

One path we may follow is to restrict the granting of blogs (we’re calling them Flogs – for “Fishing Logs, R-T is about saltwater fly fishing) to “celebrity” bloggers – authors and experts within the niche who can bring some pre-existing credibility and gravitas to their writing. Other issues — such as moderating the blogs should someone decide to do something truly heinous — is a concern that will raise its head over time. We have developed a terms of service agreement that tries to distance ourselves from the Blogger content – we don’t want to be held liable for any libel – and which gives us the right to shut them off if we so please.

As we try to create a meta-community around the concept of blogs linked by a common passion, I can’t help but feel we’re missing something, that the fluidity of the conversation we’ve seen over the last decade in the traditional community will be lost as it fragments into islands of ego.

The Gartner Hype Cycle

There’s a good piece by V.C. Peter Gardner, head of telecomm investments at 3i, on the fabled Gartner Hype Cycle  and its applicability to contemporary technologies.

Gardner writes:

“The Gartner Hype Cycle, introduced back in 1995, has aided our understanding of the causes of business failures amongst early-stage technologies. Gartner explains how technologies are "hyped up" and appear to be far more developed, both in technology maturity and also market readiness, than they really are. One recent example from mobile communications markets is WAP, where there was an incredible amount of hype, which in reality the technology failed to match up to. Unified messaging also appeared to be a great idea, but it never convinced the IS managers. In both of these, the telecoms market misread the consumer demand. Both of these dived spectacularly into the Trough of Disillusionment and appear bound to stay there.

“VoIP on the other hand, which had a similar profile of being over-hyped and failing to deliver because of perceived quality problems, has now passed through the Trough of Disillusionment and is firmly on the Slope of Enlightenment and approaching the Plateau of Productivity. That is significantly helped by the emergence of broadband rather than dial-up as the consumer bearer.

“Yahoo! and Google are examples of high profile successes that fit the hype model well. Yahoo! floated towards the Peak of Expectations and was valued with a lot of hype. Then followed the slump of 2001 and 2002. Businesses like Yahoo! and Amazon.com have now emerged as successful and profitable businesses maturing towards the Plateau of Productivity, enabling Google to have its value recognised.”

I’d link to the piece, but it is locked behind the costwall. Total Telecom is a UK pub at www.totaltele.com.

PCWorld.com – Google Removing Agence France Presse From Google News

PCWorld.com – Google Removing Agence France Presse From Google News

 

I thought Google would at least drag their feet on this one, but they rolled over immediately.

AGF held the gun to their own head on this lawsuit. 

FT.com adding a whopping 443 paid subscribers per month

PaidContent.org "And a factoid on FT.com: The Financial Times has 76,000 subscribers to its site, and that total is growing at roughly a 7 percent annual rate, according to the company."

Wow. All of 443 new paid users per month? Why bother? No wonder the FT is consigned to the giveaway bin at the Delta Shuttle.  

IGN being shopped for $600-$800mm

IGN – host of the vgame sites Gamespy, IGN and TeamXbox is being shopped by Shearson-Lehmann for $600 to $800 according to the WSJ.

5.3 million monthly uniques to Gamespy in a market where the $9.9 bn annual spend beats the movies. The Journal only cites Gamespy’s traffic, which would value the deal at $133 per unique. This continues to be the season of Internet Search and Content M&A.

 

AFP Suing Google News for $17.5 Million

Boersenreport.de – AFP Suing Google News for $17.5 Million

Call me dense, but why would a news organization sue Google News? This is the second time in a week that Google News has been painted as an evil leech.

 AGF is a corporate-level subscription service and is peeved that Google is scraping their headlines, leads, and thumbnailing photos. But in the end, if AGF puts their news onto the web, where is the harm in pointing traffic at it? If Google framed the clickthrough and sold adjacent space, sure, call in the lawyers, but that doesn’t appear to be the case here. Why wouldn’t fair-use come into play here and AGF benefit from the exposure and the potential subscription?

Last week a publisher of a b2b title asked me how I felt about Google eating into his revenue. This same publisher’s parent company has a policy against deep-linking, apparently because a competitor was bypassing the registration system and sending its users deep into their archives.

I don’t know why the news industry sees Google as the enemy. Someone please enlighten me. Beyond that, it all seems to come down to fair-use law.